In April of last year, just after Russia had annexed Crimea, the London-based think tank Chatham House published a report on the dangers of unintended nuclear conflict. It was not pegged to the events in Ukraine, and at that point few people, including the report’s authors, saw Crimea as the potential beginning of a larger conflict. Even still, it was dire in its warnings.
“The probability of inadvertent nuclear use is not zero and is higher than had been widely considered,” it stated. “The risk associated with nuclear weapons is high” and “under-appreciated.”
Their warnings were widely ignored. As the report itself noted, the world has concluded, wrongly, that nuclear weapons no longer pose an imminent threat. Attention has moved on. But the seeds of a possible war are being sown in Europe. Should the worst happen, which is a remote but real possibility, the consequences will follow all Americans to their homes.
Anyone even thinking about intervening in Ukraine should read this article. Russia is in a very different category to almost any other country.